"William H. Magill" wrote:
> In the commercial market we'll see much the same thing happening.
> Larry Ellison's Network Computers were ahead of their time but that will be
> everybody's desktop and they will be running on 100meg (minimum) LANs
> connected to massive ASP (application Service Provider) systems.
> (This trend is often called "sever consolidation," and Oracle has actually
> bet the farm on it.)
Haven't people been predicting this would happen "within five years" for the
last 20 or so? I mean, the $200 NIC price point is nice for a handful of
markets, but the difference between $200 and $2000 to a company paying
$50,000/yr for a low-level employee (including training, benefits, space
rental, etc.) is very much in the noise. So most businesses might as well
have pretty thick clients with a whole lot more speed than they really
"need". This is why serious client-server computing, and X-terminals, never
really got big- at least not compared to PCs.
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